MODI GOVERNMENT WILL FALL SHORTLY

MODI GOVERNMENT WILL FALL SHORTLY

                                        ..........Adv.A.C.Philip

When I told this, many of my friends raised their eye brows. Everybody readily disagreed. Still some people questioned the rationale behind the said statement. So I had to dissect the action, reactions, the effects, counter effects, the social flow, the under currents, the historical perspective and what we learned from history.

The power of this demonetisation is bigger than that of a hydrogen bomb. So powerful. But we need to understand it's effects and counter effects from the social perspective also.

In the social order of a modern civilisation, the society can be broadly classified into the top leadership, the middle men and the ordinary population. The ordinary population, even when look up to the leadership for benefits, are lead by the middle men for formulation of their opinion and decision making. The middle men includes, all professionals, the media barons, the religious leaders/priests, the business men, tycoons, industrialists, the political leaders, and so on..their list is unending. Collectively they function as the middle men, who control and guide the opinions making and actions of the ordinary population. The ordinary population never hold any opinion, which can be enforced by themselves. They are only the ordinary passengers of a boat, which is driven by the middlemen, collectively.

Every leadership, which sustained always try to appease the middle lobby and allow them to exploit the ordinary people, so that the middle lobby will drive the opinion of the ordinary population in favour of the leadership. The only formula required is to allow the middle lobby to exploit the ordinary population. So, the middle rank will canvass the opinion of the ordinary people in favour of the leadership, and as a reward, they retain the rights to exploit the ordinary population. Even when exploited brutally, the ordinary people will have no other option, other than applauding the leadership.

On the contrary, if any leadership takes any step to support the ordinary population, and stop their exploitation by the middle caucus, the middle gang will gather the public opinion of the ordinary population against the leadership. The ordinary population, even though the beneficiary of the policies and decision of the leadership will turn viciously against the leadership, as driven by the middle gang.   Because, the middle gang is infuriated for the denial of opportunity to exploit the ordinary population, they will gather the ordinary people to wage a war against the leadership. As the entire spectrum is against the leadership, the leadership has no other way, than to fall. The ordinary population, who enjoyed the whole benefit of t he policy of the leadership will turn against the leadership, as driven by the middle group, as the policy is against the exploitation done by the said middle caucus. The ordinary population will have no opinion of their own, as they are only the passengers in a boat driven by the middle gang.

 This is a universal truth, time and again repeated in History.

Some historical instances are explained as below for the better understanding of the same:-

         i.             Let me take the example from my own state, Kerala. In 1957 a communist government was elected to power. The first communist government in world history to come to power through ballot, through democratic process. Others had assumed power through revolutions. On assuming power, the government brought in the land reformation Act, by which the ordinary people were given ownership of the land in place of tenant hood. The landlords, who exploited the peasants, were unable to exploit them anymore. The ordinary population was the biggest beneficiary of the said decision. But the middle men, which included the upper caste Hindus, the higher echelons of the Muslims and the high priests of the Christian Churches, came together and gathered the ordinary population to wage a war called “Liberation Struggle” and ultimately led to the dismissal of the government on 31 July 1959. A police firing which killed a pregnant lady became a pivotal point and was inflated by the media as emotional focus.

       ii.             At national level, look into the fate of V.P.Singh government in 1990. As it implemented the Mondal Commission report, the biggest beneficiaries were the OBCs. But the higher caste organised the OBCs to wage a war against the Government. One Rajiv Goswami attempted suicide by self immolation in public. Actually he is also a beneficiary of the said reservation policy. But, he was driven by the higher caste to believe that the new policy is against him. They planned to commit suicide together. But the other higher case students backed out and forced this beneficiary to immolate himself...The media inflated the issue out of proportion, which eventually led to the fall of government. For that even divergent and extraneous issues were developed subsequently, which are the modus operandi, universally applied. Beneficiaries were driven by the middle caucus to array them against the leadership.  MPs were purchased by delivering huge amounts at Delhi in star hotels.

     iii.             In 1977, the Janatha Party government under the leadership of Morarji Desai came to power against the backdrop of Emergency, with complete majority. It was felt that congress will never come back to power! On 16 January, 1978, the government withdrew the higher denominations of the currency to wipe out black money from system. Further it had appointed the Mondal Commission to find out ways to bring up the backward population to the forefront or social strata. The fall started from there, the next year the government fell. An elected government with full majority lost it's majority. Congress came back to power in 1980 election! The strength of the middle caucus is strong.

      iv.             Looking into the International arena, in USA, John F.Kennedy connected himself with the people and stood against the middle caucus. Nobody in US history enjoyed such a big public support. But when he was against the arms mafia and black money, he lost his life. The conspiracy behind it never came to limelight, and will never be coming out as well.

        v.              John Paul-I, the Pope of Catholic Church was intending to close down the secret accounts of the Church  and it's trusts and distribute it for the poor. Unfortunately or craftily, after 30 days of assuming office, was found dead in his sleep, declared as a natural death for a healthy pope!- No enquiry, no reports!

      vi.             In Kerala, again, the environmental impact in the hilly districts was studied by a committee appointed by the state government, headed by a well respected environmentalist. The report could have benefitted the entire peasants of the region. But the Christian priests joined hands with the Hindu higher caste and the local political leaders and liquor/land mafia to gather the ordinary population, against the report! As the said struggle intensified, the government was forced to appoint another committed to review the said environment impact report, which was headed by a renowned space scientist!.. And the report of the space scientist was accepted in an environmental issue, setting aside the report of an environment scientist! Like, as you didn’t like the advice of a dentist, and resort to a black smith to extract your teeth....And the result is obvious...a disastrous one for the common population.

The examples are never ending. So, let us not think that all these dirty games of the middle gang are the modern phenomena. Look at the fate of Abraham Lincoln, who stood for the cause of ordinary population and the slaves. And further travel for around 2000 years in history. Christ stood for the causes of ordinary population, gave them food, healed them, criticised the tax collectors and priests for their exploitative tactics. The ordinary population were the sole beneficiary of the actions and preaching of Christ. But the middle gang gathered the same beneficiaries, the ordinary population against Christ, by creating some divergent and extraneous issues. During the trial before Roman Governor Pontius Pilate, the same beneficiaries/ordinary population under the direction of the priests and taxmen shouts “Crucify Him”! When the option given, they side with the hard core criminal, Barabbas and sends Christ to cross. Because, for the middle men, Barabbas is more useful to continue with their exploitation of the ordinary population. Hence they indoctrinated the ordinary population to accept Barabbas and destroy Christ, preaching them that, Christ committed blasphemy.

So coming back to the present crisis as well, the middle caucus is seriously injured, by the demonetisation of currency by the Prime Minister of India, Mr.Narendra Modi. Now they are the wounded venomous snakes, waiting to inject venom. They will surely create a chance to avenge. The political parties, their leaders, the priests of all religions, the industrialists, the media barons, the traders, the professionals, et al, are adversely affected by this drastic step, as all of them had enough of unaccounted money with them, heaped up in currencies. This includes the leaders of BJP as well, who are unable open their mouth in public, crying in discrete, but involuntarily forced to support the move. They always wanted Mr.Modi to take up the cause of black money and shout from the roof top, but never indented to act decisively.  They thought that once power comes to their hands by shouting action against black money, they can increase their accumulation. But Mr.Modi decided to act upon it!

Now all the middle rung will gang up together to teach Mr.Modi a standing lessen. That’s what history teaches us. All those who fought amongst will join hands to topple him, before he comes out with another step. The warring priests of different religious groups will join their hands. The warring politicians, warring corporate, and warring media groups –all will have only one agenda----de throne Mr.Modi.

The first attempt will be to inflate the emotions of the public by reporting repeatedly the death of one infant or another old man during this process. The big headlines will appear- big photos will be flashed, big panel discussions and big opinions will be created to inflate the emotions against the government. Even in election polling booth queue people stand and die. But if someone dies in a Bank queue during this process, that will be a national issue. If any child dies, then the family’s interviews and emotional outbursts will be repeated daily by the news agencies. When more than 10 lakh farmers committed suicide, these media never wrote about it. Even those reported about it, maintained it as a one line news in the inner pages, or one line reference in the past midnight news! Never reported in the prime time news. Now a single child’s death can be a one year news repeated at prime time, or on the front page, with highlighted and exaggerated emotions.

The traders will join together to hoard the commodities to create artificial scarcity and inflation. When the money supply is less and the commodities supply is static the prices are supposed to fall. But, look, the reverse is happening. If all these fails, the divergent and extraneous issues will be raked up to destabilise the government. Once the foundations are shaken, the middlemen of BJP will also join hands with them to act against Mr.Modi.  Because they are also the losers.

And the only gainers of this decision, the ordinary population, will be swayed away to destroy their own cause and support their exploiters to dethrone their trusted leadership by these middle men.

I have fewer reasons to believe that Mr.Narendra Modi will be an exception.